Foolproof argument Disclosure WILL happen very soon for real.

This is a serious post which speculates on the most important thing that is happening right now in the world and it's not drones, it's not NHI nor is it UFOs.

Because the argument this post puts forward it will be making use of "logic trains" which is where one concept is introduced and explained, then the next concept is and so forth. Taking the answer to this question in a way which builds blocks for the final answer to sit on top of - that way everyone can follow along as the terms are explained and we should all be on even-ground to debate in the comment section.

This post attempts to take speculation and crumbs of information and provide a fool proof logical argument that disclosure is likely looming soon.

UFO logic-train

  • We know, from witness testimony, video evidence and personal sightings that UFO's exist.

  • UFO's could be any thousand of explanations, but a couple dominate in terms of viability.

  • NHI, Human engineering, Natural phenomena

  • Sightings were reported well before global super powers had anything remotely close to UAP capabilities. It's for this reason, in our purposes of speculating, that we attribute NHI with the highest likelihood. Remember, UFO's aside, the scientific community overwhelmingly support the idea of ET life existing. The issue people have is justifying their visiting us - but this is answered when we consider the minimal effort it would cost to automate visitations here with AI or automated systems. ET doesn't need to kiss his wife and kids goodbye, put on a suit, fuel up his spaceship and spend 100 million lightyears visiting us. It could be that an absent factory worker alien is overseeing a panel of AI drones automatically using inter-dimensional travel capabilities to explore star systems and this panel had one minor notification when earth was found, amongst millions of other planets.

  • However we cannot ignore the possibility that a human intelligence is behind UFO's and was dormant/isolated throughout history, content to for example wizz around in balls of light during WW2 and cause widespread sightings causing project bluebook, nor can we rule out natural phenomena.

  • In any case, whichever dominant explanation you believe, it's hard to argue that we don't have these technologies from crash retrievals or other means.

  • That means, we now have UFO technology, which is a high likelihood speculation

  • UFO technology includes some of the following. a) Significant leaps in material science (metal alloys, electrical circuiting and computing and brain/machine interfacing) b) Physics defying capabilities which challenges our current fundamental understanding of the physical laws of the universe c) Significant leaps in Energy generation, storage and manipulation

  • Material Science, Physics, Energy

  • All 3 of these, or even, any just 1 of these, would be globally transformative in terms of the impact it would have on the world.

Here we summarize the first logical train:

Because we see UFOs we know they exist. Whilst we can speculate on their origin, it doesn't matter. Because we now have them or some understanding of them and that understanding, from a technology perspective, is globally transformative in terms of the impact it would have on society.

Change is Accelerating

Technology

https://imgur.com/Ms0ekNc

Change is accelerating. Our technological capabilities are increasing over time, but the rate that they are increasing is also increasing. For example, start doubling 2. It starts off slow 2 - 4 - 8 - 16 - 32 these are all small numbers 64 - 128 - 256 - 512 ok starting to cook now, 1024 - 2048 - 4096 - 8192 .. we quickly get high numbers, but that's at a constant rate of acceleration, now let's do the same but instead of a constant rate of (x2) we increase the multiplier by 1 - and let's list those side by side to compare. 

2 - 4 - 8 - 16 - 32 - 64 - 128 - 256 - 512 - 1024 - 2048 - 4096 - 8192
2 - 4 - 12 - 48 - 240 - 1440 - 10080 - 80640 - 725760 - 7257600 - 79833600 - 958003200 - 12,454,041,600

When a rate of change accelerates, you very quickly approach high numbers. Our change is accelerating.

Today Open AI announced o3 which, is really indicative of this: https://i.redd.it/q17ugujex48e1.jpeg The significance is, currently we improve AI using human intelligence. We take the last model and improve it for the next one. However, as AI approaches AGI (genuine intelligence) it can be as smart as a human being. At that point, we can train the AGI to improve AI faster and better than humans would. It's like taking our x2 multiplier from above and then suddenly changing it to (x100). It's life changing and approaches what people have speculated would be a "technological singularity" which is a globally transformative event that will happen in our lifetime where we become so significantly more technologically powerful that today's world in comparison is primitive. Honestly, to get an idea of a post-singularity world it's basically sci-fi. Anyway that's just speculation.

Social science

What if I told you, that even if we passed a brutal law which prevented any further technology development - we'd still have accelerating change? It's true. If we stopped any single technological development and purely used our existing tech then instead of technology leading the rate of change. It would be us. A social network isn't Facebook or X. It's a connection of human users on any platform. Your whatsapp group with your family or colleagues is a social network. All of the YouTubers and their drama, all the X tweeters, all the Twitch streamers and IG influencers are all participating in a social network.

The characteristics of a social network naturally significantly accelerate societal development. But what does this mean? It means that as some random influencer reads a very detailed book on psychology and quickly summarizes a term such as "gas lighting" or "body storing trauma" or "strawman" whatever.. it quickly and significantly propagates into society and informs millions of people whilst bringing the "average level of understanding" forward in regards to that term. When a group of people know something together and take that assumption going forward it's called an axiom. For example, an Axiom in /r/ufos is that a UFO often means space ship. Because our society is so well connected and we're enjoying a golden era of information, we can and do enjoy a significant acceleration of our social development.

A natural byproduct of this is self expression. Over time, because of more ease of access to information, it naturally quells ignorance and in turn increases empathy. Without getting too speculative and focusing only on the objective patterns; high information = lower ignorance = higher empathy = lower conflict.

It's not all good, there's significant misinformation campaigns and make no mistake, various agents and actors are weaponizing social networks for their agenda. But we're not speculating one way or the other that the good faith actors will win or the bad ones. What we're doing today is explaining that, being as connected as we are today, we are accelerating our rate of change and development as a species. Things like self expression and LGBTQ+ are exploding and our sense of behavior is massively developing to the point where one action in the past would have no recourse but could now induce cancel culture. Our expectations and governing social rules are developing and that rate of change is accelerating. Who knows where it can lead?

Perhaps once social development allows enough people to be properly informed on capitalism instruments, governmental corruption and the general distribution of wealth models.. people might not so happily continue to participate in society as it is and a transformative high conflict event might shake things up. Anyway we can only speculate.

Global institutions

When we step back and look at "how the world works" we have dominant systems run by global institutions which more or less keep things running. We have things like diplomacy which governs how countries interact with each-other. We have a global trade concept being the monetary model which is governed by financial and banking institutions. We move currency and wealth around and swap it for goods. We have governments which at a country level provide governance to the people and there's various alliances around that. We have less formal institutions like education and health and all kinds of things going on.

These institutions though, have a massive glaring issue. In simple terms they're not designed for the transformative change that accelerated development is bringing us. Let's cherry pick some to see what we mean by that.

Diplomacy is a global institution which is not ready for people to hop into their UFO's and buzz around to different continents at their own leisure. We have passports, immigration laws, auditing of who/when someone leaves a country or enters another. If a big event happens or a small country surges in popularity, the existing diplomatic and immigration systems are already overloaded. Countries need to quickly adapt to a surge in immigration or need to massively upscale their workforce to manage or process it. Now imagine if everyone had UFO's and 100's of thousands of people were zooming around. The global institution of diplomacy and immigration, is not ready for the change a UFO would provide the masses.

Also, the current monetary model, with its legacy institutions such as central banks, regulatory bodies and traditional financial institutions, is inherently slow-moving due to its reliance on hierarchical structures, bureaucracy, and decades-old systems. This rigidity creates friction in an increasingly changing world driven by technology and global inter-connectivity. For example this is painfully represented by the fact institutions are slow to prioritize funding for climate change, sustainable projects, and social equity due to profit-driven models, despite the urgency. COVID-19 was another example that if a shift in consumer spending happens the monetary models are slow to react and have to manually intervene because the "expected balance of buying and selling" was disrupted. (This is a huge red flag our system is not resilient). Also anyone who knows finance can tell you in detail that the models/systems we use are not only open to significant corruption and manipulation that by the time regulation catches up to it - the damage is done.. but that the foundational premise a lot of financial institutions rely on is crumbling and time and time again, government buy-outs of banks or other "band aid" measures are used to keep this monolithic toxic model afloat.

In summary, the world is ran by slow, (often fundamentally flawed) institutions or models. Whilst there's obvious downsides to that, the big one is how we've gotten ourselves into a catch-22 where the effort to unpick these models is so high because we're so invested in them, that we can't do so without a globally transformative event or massive change. Think of the analogy of the titanic heading for an iceberg and the captain knows he can steer all he wants, he wont be able to turn out of its path in time so can only control how they hit the iceberg. That's the reality of our global institutions.

Logic train on there will be a globally transformative event soon

  • Change is accelerating, more now than ever and will continue to

  • That change is both technological but also social and it cant be stopped.

  • The rate and nature of this change will be so large that our global institutions will not be able to handle it. Even if we stop our current technological progress, our existing tech and global social networks will continue to drive accelerated change, one video or tweet at a time.

  • Our global institutions not being able to handle this change, is no joke. We're talking basic, foundational systems here which govern everything about your life. Those systems are going to be stressed phenomenally over the coming years and some of them are already at their bursting point now.

  • The model science here is this. (High rate of change) + (slow, inadequate institutions and governance) = high conflict. The conflict is a scientific term and doesn't necessarily mean warfare. But it means great change or compromise. For example everyone having their currency converted to a blockchain token managed by a new brand new model and governance institution built for resilience with anti-corruption mechanisms baked in. Significant re-distribution of wealth. Massive change in lifestyles and use of materials and goods such as plastics or land ownership models. Then of course we can't avoid warfare, weapon development, cyber-warfare and ever battling war of influence via bots, social media tampering and government lobbying.

  • Because of this genuinely broken course we're on and the looming high conflict horizon... Government need to step in and make some kind of proactive measures for the continued acceleration of change. And you can know full well that if I know this stuff and 10,000's of other scientists which have been saying this for decades. Then you know the government not only know this, but have known it for a long time and are active in this space.

  • We again need to go back into models. The science of civilizations and their various "routes through development" is a science and at it's core there's various models such as capitalism, democracy, communism etc. We can simulate and predict these competing models over time and watch how they deal with catalytic events such as the introduction of nuclear weapons, the introduction of the internet, the introduction of free energy, the introduction of UFO's etc.

  • Running these models over and over allows our ruling agents to see the course through the storm. Now whether you believe in a centralized benevolent group of people who are doing that e.g. some echelon of the US government. Or if you believe NHI are doing it and advising countries through this period..

  • The one thing you can't deny is that soon, something will give. In model lingo, it's unavoidable, the iceberg is dead ahead and UFO disclosure is likely a large component of this. Declassifying UFO's and the implications of UFO technology is like a fleet of life-boats ready to pick up the pieces during our transition.

  • Grusch and other high-value voices in this space have confirmed that the main reason UFO disclosure hasn't happened is because of the 'societal impacts'. Using our logic above, we have proven that those societal impacts are coming anyway - thus we have fool-proof logical speculation that UFO disclosure is on the near horizon

In my opinion, all scenarios are open for interpretation. But my two favorite are:

a) NHI are and have been assisting us with this and are putting pressure/influence on our global governance to have better transition.

b) NHI either aren't here or are apathetic but our world leaders, perhaps aided with AGI (super intelligence) is helping up navigate the chess pieces at the government level in order to weather our storm through this transitional period. Any speculative AGI/ASI's main objective is to address the intrinsic difficulties and challenges with game theory in our species.

PLEASE discuss your thoughts on these points above. Critique and challenge anything above and by all means share your own opinion. Whilst the above has great speculation, and in some areas it can be reaching. The overwhelming and unavoidable truth is we are headed for a global transformational event - that may or may not include UFO's but logically speaking it's very likely it would.

This post touches on foundational concepts which have been expanded on in further threads below. If you didn't mind the writing style there's a lot more to this body of work below